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Hurricane Forecast

SEPTEMBER 23, 2022


Forecast 092322 - 2

09/23/22 09:20 AM

Well, things are unfolding on the weather front as we sort of feared they would. The image of the forecast says it all.

Of course, and as we have learned all too often, a lot can happen when it comes to the predicted path of a potential hurricane. We've seen it over and over again.

It's nothing more than a hurry up and wait game, and when you're in the path it doesn't feel like a game at all. That risk, as they see it down there, is the price of paradise. I heard that all too often, and even came to believe it.

But now, having moved away from the high risk of storm surge and flooding, I no longer think of the price of paradise. I see it more as a matter that we just didn't know what we didn't know. We came for the romance and enjoyed it as long as we could.

But it was time to leave, and leave we did.

Footnote

Forecast 092322 - 3

What a Difference 6 Hours Makes

09/23/22 11:15 AM

The prior forecast was for 2 AM and this one is for 8 AM. The two standouts are the higher windspeed probabilities and the sense of commitment to the storm riding up the west coast of the Florida peninsula, instead of cutting across toward Jacksonville as occurred with a previous storm.


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